IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 56.2% — normal range
Effective IV 65.9% (ATM 56.2% + spread 4.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 9.27% (spread 4.84% + slippage 4.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 221.13 (vega 107.026 / spread 4.84%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 2.8% — balanced
Vol skew +22.3%, OI skew +2.8% — aligned
0-DTE 50%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -9%, ATM: -22%, OTM: +0% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 43% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.8% — acceptable
OI 369,988 — deep
Volume 20,659/day — active
$0.24 to cross — cheap
8 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 117.5 contracts (bid:57.3 ask:60.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 610.53 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.