IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 20.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 15% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.5% — normal range
Effective IV 63.9% (ATM 28.5% + spread 17.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 37.52% (spread 17.71% + slippage 19.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 39.16 (vega 69.353 / spread 17.71%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +35% (strong bullish) — Raw: +51%
|OI skew| 22.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +41.1%, OI skew +22.4% — aligned
0-DTE 70%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +91%, OTM: -47% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 9% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +35 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.7% — wide
OI 10,833 — adequate
Volume 95/day — thin
$0.89 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 19% — much tighter than sector
Depth 66.9 contracts (bid:35.1 ask:31.8) — thin
Avg slippage 19.81% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 20% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1256.40 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +35% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.