bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 43.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.29x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.0% — normal range
Effective IV 105.8% (ATM 34.0% + spread 35.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 48.68% (spread 35.91% + slippage 12.77%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.35 (vega 51.542 / spread 35.91%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -42%
|OI skew| 40.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew -83.2%, OI skew +40.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 68%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -67%, OTM: -25% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 97% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +93.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 35.9% — wide
OI 4,852 — thin
Volume 107/day — thin
$1.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 46.900000000000006 contracts (bid:20.1 ask:26.8) — thin
Avg slippage 12.77% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 43% — neutral
IV kink 2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 171.98 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.