IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 56.9% — normal range
Effective IV 74.3% (ATM 56.9% + spread 8.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.31% (spread 8.72% + slippage 3.59%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.89 (vega 19.957 / spread 8.72%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +22%
|OI skew| 9.5% — balanced
Vol skew +48.0%, OI skew +9.5% — aligned
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +7%, ATM: +34%, OTM: +21% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 22% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 317,632 — deep
Volume 22,043/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 286.29999999999995 contracts (bid:150.1 ask:136.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.59% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.3% — contango
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 115.90 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.