IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.84x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 49.5% — normal range
Effective IV 72.7% (ATM 49.5% + spread 11.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 18.74% (spread 11.58% + slippage 7.16%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.46 (vega 5.168 / spread 11.58%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -23%
|OI skew| 29.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +27.1%, OI skew +29.3% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: +20%, OTM: -35% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 39% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 56% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.6% — wide
OI 262,451 — deep
Volume 5,782/day — active
$0.58 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 348.7 contracts (bid:206.5 ask:142.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.16% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 174.02 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.