APHAmphenol Corporation
APH Options Overview
IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
APH Gamma Walls
APH Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where APH sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.71) — downside puts carry 0.1 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 14% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 14-trading-day realized moves (490 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.2): it is trading 5% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 58% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.7% — normal range
Effective IV 59.6% (ATM 44.7% + spread 7.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 10.83% (spread 7.45% + slippage 3.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 39.48 (vega 29.415 / spread 7.45%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +72% (strong bullish) — Raw: +64%
|OI skew| 14.3% — balanced
Vol skew -66.9%, OI skew +14.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +14%, ATM: +3%, OTM: +69% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 95% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 35% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 62% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +72 (bullish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.5% — wide
OI 118,032 — deep
Volume 5,726/day — active
$0.37 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Depth 166.6 contracts (bid:76.5 ask:90.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.38% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -13.6% — contango
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 325.03 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +72% @ 86% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 92 (ITM 20% + inst 62%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.