IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.24x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.5% — normal range
Effective IV 61.4% (ATM 44.5% + spread 8.4% + bias) — good value
Total drag 12.64% (spread 8.45% + slippage 4.19%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 17.91 (vega 15.132 / spread 8.45%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +25% (bullish) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 3.4% — balanced
Vol skew -3.6%, OI skew +3.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -29%, ATM: +20%, OTM: +8% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 40% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 41% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction +25 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.4% — wide
OI 370,562 — deep
Volume 13,971/day — active
$0.42 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 301.70000000000005 contracts (bid:168.8 ask:132.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.19% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 75% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 155.68 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +25% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 71 (ITM 20% + inst 41%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.