IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 77.8% — normal range
Effective IV 93.8% (ATM 77.8% + spread 8.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.21% (spread 8.00% + slippage 4.21%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 300.33 (vega 240.261 / spread 8.00%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -3%
|OI skew| 17.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +48.9%, OI skew +17.7% — aligned
0-DTE 60%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -0%, ATM: +13%, OTM: -8% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 18.0% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 353,692 — deep
Volume 63,732/day — active
$0.40 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 130.1 contracts (bid:65.1 ask:65.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.21% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.8% — contango
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink -9.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2288.20 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.