IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.83x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 73% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.5% — normal range
Effective IV 84.4% (ATM 44.5% + spread 20.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.35% (spread 19.97% + slippage 5.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.67 (vega 13.317 / spread 19.97%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -32% (strong bearish) — Raw: -35%
|OI skew| 9.4% — balanced
Vol skew +37.6%, OI skew -9.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 13%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -48%, ATM: -46%, OTM: -27% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 28% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 19.1% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +129.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction -32 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.0% — wide
OI 1,057 — thin
Volume 202/day — thin
$1.00 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector
Depth 51.6 contracts (bid:27.6 ask:24.0) — thin
Avg slippage 5.38% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 520.20 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -32% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.