
IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.8% — normal range
Effective IV 84.9% (ATM 46.8% + spread 19.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.88% (spread 19.07% + slippage 5.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.90 (vega 13.163 / spread 19.07%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 2.7% — balanced
Vol skew +12.3%, OI skew -2.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +27%, ATM: -49%, OTM: +29% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.1% — wide
OI 56,508 — deep
Volume 1,405/day — adequate
$0.95 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 186.0 contracts (bid:105.8 ask:80.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.81% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 817.57 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 10d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.