IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.1% — normal range
Effective IV 75.7% (ATM 55.1% + spread 10.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 15.30% (spread 10.30% + slippage 5.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.14 (vega 22.807 / spread 10.30%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -19% (bearish) — Raw: -28%
|OI skew| 11.6% — balanced
Vol skew +43.2%, OI skew -11.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 11%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -9%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -38% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 21% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 18% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction -19 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.3% — wide
OI 112,176 — deep
Volume 1,974/day — adequate
$0.52 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 140.5 contracts (bid:61.8 ask:78.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 361.45 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 14d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -19% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.