Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 38.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.7% — normal range
Effective IV 80.9% (ATM 32.7% + spread 24.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 28.30% (spread 24.12% + slippage 4.18%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.36 (vega 3.290 / spread 24.12%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +67% (strong bullish) — Raw: +50%
|OI skew| 57.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew -53.8%, OI skew +57.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +100% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.5% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 13% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +67 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 24.1% — wide
OI 925 — thin
Volume 13/day — thin
$1.21 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 35% — tighter than sector
Depth 30.0 contracts (bid:10.7 ask:19.3) — thin
Avg slippage 4.18% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 38% — neutral
IV kink 2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.20 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +67% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.