IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 41% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.6% — normal range
Effective IV 58.2% (ATM 24.6% + spread 16.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.83% (spread 16.80% + slippage 7.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.64 (vega 14.516 / spread 16.80%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -36% (strong bearish) — Raw: -23%
|OI skew| 33.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +1.2%, OI skew +33.8% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -58%, OTM: +21% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 69% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction -36 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.8% — wide
OI 17,546 — adequate
Volume 431/day — thin
$0.84 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 54.099999999999994 contracts (bid:24.2 ask:29.9) — thin
Avg slippage 7.03% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 7% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 217.95 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.