IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 99% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 70.1% — normal range
Effective IV 95.1% (ATM 70.1% + spread 12.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 21.14% (spread 12.49% + slippage 8.65%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 35.34 (vega 44.135 / spread 12.49%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 3.2% — balanced
Vol skew +2.1%, OI skew +3.2% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: -22%, OTM: +13% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 3% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.5% — wide
OI 53,705 — deep
Volume 2,931/day — adequate
$0.62 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 41.599999999999994 contracts (bid:22.7 ask:18.9) — thin
Avg slippage 8.65% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink -8.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 67.96 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 33 (ITM 20% + inst 3%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.