Options/AXP

AXPAmerican Express Company

Options Analysis Report•FINANCE SERVICES

Market Cap $225.0B|NYSE

● 2026-08-31$333.20

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +0.6%YTD -10.6%7D -1.2%

Options Vol

20,353

30D

Implied Move

±6.4%

IV Rank

AXP Options Overview

IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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AXP Gamma Walls

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AXP Hedge Radar

Neutral

Full Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where AXP sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.04) — near-dated vol is priced 22% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 1th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (5.51): it is trading 2% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost

2.04/ 10cheap

Basis: cross_sectional

Fragility

5.51/ 10neutral

Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

8.5

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 16.3% — cheap vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.24x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 26% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.78x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 23.0% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 42.8% (ATM 23.0% + spread 9.9% + bias) — excellent value

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 16.46% (spread 9.90% + slippage 6.56%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 15.26 (vega 15.105 / spread 9.90%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

9.0

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +70%, Raw: +60%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +70% (strong bullish) — Raw: +60%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 16.0% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +38.7%, OI skew +16.0% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -30%, ATM: +60%, OTM: +60% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.1

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 1.5x avg — elevated

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 8.0% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +9.0% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 61% — heavy institutional

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 18% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +70 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

5.0

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 9.9% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 253,548 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 20,353/day — active

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.49 to cross — cheap

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 27% — tighter than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 98.9 contracts (bid:43.2 ask:55.7) — thin

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.56% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.6

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -21.6% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 16% — buyer opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -3.5pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 54.97 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +70% @ 85% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 91 (ITM 20% + inst 61%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls8.6

bullishIV cheap, bullish flow

Long Puts5.2

bearishIV cheap, bullish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put5.7

bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow

Covered Call2.9

bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on AXP

AXP gamma walls AXP max pain AXP IV rank AXP options flow