IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 28.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.7% — normal range
Effective IV 46.8% (ATM 30.7% + spread 8.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 23.57% (spread 8.04% + slippage 15.53%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1385.70 (vega 1114.104 / spread 8.04%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -25% (bearish) — Raw: -24%
|OI skew| 26.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +16.0%, OI skew +26.1% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -13%, OTM: -28% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 23.1% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +18.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 96% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 20% — patient
Conviction -25 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 11,568 — adequate
Volume 2,670/day — adequate
$0.40 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 22% — tighter than sector
Depth 12.0 contracts (bid:6.5 ask:5.5) — thin
Avg slippage 15.53% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 28% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1261.87 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -25% @ 62% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.