IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.51x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.69x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.2% — normal range
Effective IV 95.4% (ATM 61.2% + spread 17.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 21.14% (spread 17.10% + slippage 4.04%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.62 (vega 1.055 / spread 17.10%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -9% (neutral) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 20.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +0.4%, OI skew +20.7% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -25%, ATM: +45%, OTM: +6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 37% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 20% — patient
Conviction -9 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.1% — wide
OI 106,130 — deep
Volume 2,846/day — adequate
$0.86 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 566.3 contracts (bid:450.4 ask:115.9) — deep
Avg slippage 4.04% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -31.5% — contango
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink -22.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 39.36 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 67 (ITM 20% + inst 37%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.