Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 55.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 54% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.73x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.5% — normal range
Effective IV 88.3% (ATM 37.5% + spread 25.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 36.34% (spread 25.41% + slippage 10.93%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 21.98 (vega 55.841 / spread 25.41%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -25% (bearish) — Raw: -24%
|OI skew| 8.5% — balanced
Vol skew +36.4%, OI skew +8.5% — aligned
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -22%, OTM: -25% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 17% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction -25 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.4% — wide
OI 51,577 — deep
Volume 557/day — adequate
$1.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Depth 53.2 contracts (bid:28.5 ask:24.7) — thin
Avg slippage 10.93% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -27.0% — contango
IV percentile 55% — neutral
IV kink -10.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1130.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -25% @ 62% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.