IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 15.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.46x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 23% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.4% — normal range
Effective IV 61.4% (ATM 27.4% + spread 17.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 31.65% (spread 17.02% + slippage 14.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.33 (vega 43.113 / spread 17.02%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -15%
|OI skew| 12.0% — balanced
Vol skew -23.3%, OI skew +12.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -27%, ATM: -58%, OTM: -5% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.5x avg — hot
Vol/OI 12.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
3 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +20.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 93% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 45% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.0% — wide
OI 77,824 — deep
Volume 9,556/day — active
$0.85 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 26% — tighter than sector
Depth 173.39999999999998 contracts (bid:91.6 ask:81.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 14.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.4% — contango
IV percentile 16% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1528.82 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in -1d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 75 (ITM 20% + inst 45%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.