
IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.1% — normal range
Effective IV 75.8% (ATM 61.1% + spread 7.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 10.79% (spread 7.37% + slippage 3.42%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.77 (vega 13.833 / spread 7.37%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -34% (strong bearish) — Raw: -28%
|OI skew| 36.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew -33.8%, OI skew +36.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -44%, ATM: -12%, OTM: -31% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 40% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 7% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -34 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.4% — wide
OI 55,386 — deep
Volume 1,484/day — adequate
$0.37 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 81.9 contracts (bid:38.0 ask:43.9) — thin
Avg slippage 3.42% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 193.74 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -34% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 37 (ITM 20% + inst 7%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.