IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 23.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.99x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 38% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.8% — normal range
Effective IV 55.0% (ATM 29.8% + spread 12.6% + bias) — good value
Total drag 26.60% (spread 12.62% + slippage 13.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 107.98 (vega 136.265 / spread 12.62%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -8%
|OI skew| 10.4% — balanced
Vol skew -3.9%, OI skew -10.4% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 51%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -75%, ATM: -6%, OTM: -7% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 69% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +26.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 66% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.6% — wide
OI 41,901 — adequate
Volume 2,872/day — adequate
$0.63 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Depth 20.1 contracts (bid:9.8 ask:10.3) — thin
Avg slippage 13.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 266.30 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.