bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 30.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.0% — normal range
Effective IV 54.0% (ATM 31.0% + spread 11.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 20.73% (spread 11.48% + slippage 9.25%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 21.59 (vega 24.782 / spread 11.48%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +23% (bullish) — Raw: +22%
|OI skew| 7.7% — balanced
Vol skew +40.6%, OI skew +7.7% — aligned
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +40%, ATM: +27%, OTM: +21% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 23% — mixed
Aggressive execution 60% — urgent
Conviction +23 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.5% — wide
OI 574,274 — deep
Volume 20,892/day — active
$0.57 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 24% — tighter than sector
Depth 471.9 contracts (bid:221.0 ask:250.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.25% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.8% — contango
IV percentile 30% — neutral
IV kink -5.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2608.63 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +23% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 53 (ITM 20% + inst 23%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.