bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 61.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 24% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.3% — normal range
Effective IV 67.7% (ATM 39.3% + spread 14.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.77% (spread 14.18% + slippage 13.59%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.14 (vega 3.031 / spread 14.18%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +33% (strong bullish) — Raw: +27%
|OI skew| 8.4% — balanced
Vol skew +48.7%, OI skew -8.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +23%, ATM: -25%, OTM: +38% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 21% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 17% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +33 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.2% — wide
OI 3,555 — thin
Volume 78/day — thin
$0.71 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector
Depth 37.2 contracts (bid:17.9 ask:19.3) — thin
Avg slippage 13.59% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 62% — neutral
IV kink 3.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.26 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +33% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.