IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 79% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.63x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.9% — normal range
Effective IV 75.0% (ATM 47.9% + spread 13.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 19.25% (spread 13.53% + slippage 5.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.77 (vega 3.741 / spread 13.53%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -27% (bearish) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 46.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew -17.0%, OI skew +46.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -35%, ATM: -12%, OTM: +5% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 73% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 44% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -27 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.5% — wide
OI 407,097 — deep
Volume 11,578/day — active
$0.68 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — wider than sector
Depth 402.2 contracts (bid:231.6 ask:170.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +62.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 21.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 25.93 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -27% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 74 (ITM 20% + inst 44%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.