BXBlackstone Inc.
BX Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
BX Gamma Walls
BX Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where BX sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (1.76) — near-dated vol is priced 6% below far-dated, and downside puts carry 1.1 IV points more than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.37): it is trading 3% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 64.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 35.4% — normal range
Effective IV 49.2% (ATM 35.4% + spread 6.9% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.99% (spread 6.88% + slippage 5.11%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.69 (vega 15.610 / spread 6.88%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -9% (neutral) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 19.7% — put-heavy
Vol skew +1.1%, OI skew -19.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -20%, ATM: -20%, OTM: -6% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.9% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 36% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction -9 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.9% — wide
OI 487,902 — deep
Volume 8,043/day — active
$0.34 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 178.9 contracts (bid:65.5 ask:113.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.11% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.8% — contango
IV percentile 65% — neutral
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 160.27 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.