IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 73.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.26x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.1% — normal range
Effective IV 62.1% (ATM 44.1% + spread 9.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 14.87% (spread 9.01% + slippage 5.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 53.05 (vega 47.800 / spread 9.01%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +0% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 22.1% — put-heavy
Vol skew +1.3%, OI skew -22.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -30%, ATM: -25%, OTM: +13% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 38% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +0 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.0% — wide
OI 438,489 — deep
Volume 15,977/day — active
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 202.5 contracts (bid:92.0 ask:110.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +26.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 74% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1498.42 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +0% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.