Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 45.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.04x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 43% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.5% — normal range
Effective IV 53.5% (ATM 34.5% + spread 9.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 15.64% (spread 9.52% + slippage 6.12%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 70.41 (vega 67.028 / spread 9.52%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 10.8% — balanced
Vol skew -11.7%, OI skew +10.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -74%, ATM: -12%, OTM: +37% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 36% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.5% — wide
OI 36,923 — adequate
Volume 632/day — adequate
$0.48 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Depth 52.2 contracts (bid:22.8 ask:29.4) — thin
Avg slippage 6.12% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -17.0% — contango
IV percentile 46% — neutral
IV kink -8.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1296.49 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.