IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 4.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.52x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.5% — normal range
Effective IV 49.9% (ATM 23.5% + spread 13.2% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 23.89% (spread 13.19% + slippage 10.70%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 58.12 (vega 76.658 / spread 13.19%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -19% (bearish) — Raw: -26%
|OI skew| 33.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +5.1%, OI skew +33.1% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 45%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -45%, OTM: -6% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 58% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction -19 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.2% — wide
OI 30,676 — adequate
Volume 984/day — adequate
$0.66 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 6% — much tighter than sector
Depth 30.299999999999997 contracts (bid:12.4 ask:17.9) — thin
Avg slippage 10.70% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 5% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 945.23 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -19% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.