bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 59.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.56x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 84% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.0% — normal range
Effective IV 81.6% (ATM 39.0% + spread 21.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 26.28% (spread 21.28% + slippage 5.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.90 (vega 48.735 / spread 21.28%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -56% (strong bearish) — Raw: -42%
|OI skew| 34.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +76.4%, OI skew +34.4% — aligned
0-DTE 50%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -70% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 10% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 65% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction -56 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.3% — wide
OI 21,487 — adequate
Volume 796/day — adequate
$1.06 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 57.0 contracts (bid:27.7 ask:29.3) — thin
Avg slippage 5.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +16.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 60% — neutral
IV kink 5.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1218.37 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -56% @ 78% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.