IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 28.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.98x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 52% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.8% — normal range
Effective IV 77.4% (ATM 30.8% + spread 23.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 30.81% (spread 23.28% + slippage 7.53%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.45 (vega 17.345 / spread 23.28%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +21%
|OI skew| 26.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +14.0%, OI skew +26.5% — aligned
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -50%, ATM: +57%, OTM: +21% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 29% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 23.3% — wide
OI 31,228 — adequate
Volume 549/day — adequate
$1.16 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 102.5 contracts (bid:46.9 ask:55.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.53% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +16.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 28% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 635.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.