CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Options Analysis Report•ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
Market Cap $21.5B|NASDAQ
● 2026-04-17$182.24
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-04-16 EOD data
1Y +104.1%YTD +11.3%7D +11.5%
Options Vol
4,234
30D
Implied Move
±13.6%
IV Rank
53%
CHRW Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
4.7
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 70.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 75% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.16x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 42.6% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 69.6% (ATM 42.6% + spread 13.5% + bias) — fair
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 18.95% (spread 13.51% + slippage 5.44%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 40.88 (vega 55.233 / spread 13.51%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
4.4
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -60%, Raw: -24%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -60% (strong bearish) — Raw: -24%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 46.2% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +73.1%, OI skew +46.2% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +21%, ATM: -43%, OTM: +4% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 11% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
6.4
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 3.3x avg — hot
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +4.5% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 38% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -60 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
3.3
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 13.5% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 61,377 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 4,234/day — adequate
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.68 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 86.3 contracts (bid:43.0 ask:43.3) — thin
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 5.44% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.7
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +15.9% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 5.8pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 947.39 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -60% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 68 (ITM 20% + inst 38%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls4.8
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.3
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.0
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call5.3
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.