IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.79x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.90x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.7% — normal range
Effective IV 88.5% (ATM 65.7% + spread 11.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.84% (spread 11.42% + slippage 7.42%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.25 (vega 4.851 / spread 11.42%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +11%
|OI skew| 9.2% — balanced
Vol skew +49.4%, OI skew +9.2% — aligned
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -7%, ATM: +53%, OTM: -9% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 38% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 32% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.4% — wide
OI 136,640 — deep
Volume 7,410/day — active
$0.57 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 82.7 contracts (bid:39.7 ask:43.0) — thin
Avg slippage 7.42% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +89.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 38.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 4.02 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 7d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 62 (ITM 20% + inst 32%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.