Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal
ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Effective IV 27.4% (ATM 0.0% + spread 13.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 17.90% (spread 13.68% + slippage 4.22%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 13.68%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -67% (strong bearish) — Raw: -67%
|OI skew| 16.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.3%, OI skew +16.2% — aligned
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -90%, ATM: -3%, OTM: -63% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 55% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -67 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.7% — wide
OI 74,046 — deep
Volume 5,813/day — active
$0.68 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 150.3 contracts (bid:80.9 ask:69.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.22% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +19.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink 5.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -67% @ 84% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 85 (ITM 20% + inst 55%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.