IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.55x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 63.6% — normal range
Effective IV 91.5% (ATM 63.6% + spread 13.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.35% (spread 13.95% + slippage 4.40%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.61 (vega 2.245 / spread 13.95%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (bullish) — Raw: +10%
|OI skew| 53.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +72.0%, OI skew +53.5% — aligned
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +4%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +13% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 8% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 24% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.9% — wide
OI 366,687 — deep
Volume 5,203/day — active
$0.70 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 522.5 contracts (bid:333.6 ask:188.9) — deep
Avg slippage 4.40% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 31.85 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.