IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 11.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.50x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 55% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.2% — normal range
Effective IV 67.3% (ATM 26.2% + spread 20.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 31.98% (spread 20.53% + slippage 11.45%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.84 (vega 9.940 / spread 20.53%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +12% (bullish) — Raw: +46%
|OI skew| 47.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +50.2%, OI skew +47.5% — aligned
0-DTE 74%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +7%, ATM: +46%, OTM: +75% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 28% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.4x avg — hot
Vol/OI 6.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +3.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 58% — patient
Conviction +12 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.5% — wide
OI 25,445 — adequate
Volume 1,601/day — adequate
$1.03 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Depth 96.6 contracts (bid:26.5 ask:70.1) — thin
Avg slippage 11.45% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 11% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1014.23 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.