IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 73.5% — normal range
Effective IV 85.8% (ATM 73.5% + spread 6.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.56% (spread 6.14% + slippage 4.42%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 124.48 (vega 76.429 / spread 6.14%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -3%
|OI skew| 21.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +41.8%, OI skew +21.2% — aligned
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: -15%, OTM: +1% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 22% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 20.6% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +15.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 96% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.1% — wide
OI 1,270,860 — deep
Volume 262,094/day — active
$0.31 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 186.5 contracts (bid:90.3 ask:96.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.42% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1034.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.