
bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 62.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.75x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 61% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.5% — normal range
Effective IV 67.9% (ATM 39.5% + spread 14.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.28% (spread 14.21% + slippage 13.07%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.01 (vega 1.433 / spread 14.21%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -57% (strong bearish) — Raw: -48%
|OI skew| 1.9% — balanced
Vol skew -91.7%, OI skew -1.9% — aligned
0-DTE 1%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +64%, ATM: +50%, OTM: -58% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 98% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 4.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +3.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction -57 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.2% — wide
OI 4,471 — thin
Volume 192/day — thin
$0.71 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 63% — wider than sector
Depth 51.2 contracts (bid:33.4 ask:17.8) — thin
Avg slippage 13.07% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.1% — contango
IV percentile 63% — neutral
IV kink -5.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.06 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -57% @ 78% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.