
IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 22.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.7% — normal range
Effective IV 73.6% (ATM 29.7% + spread 22.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 28.31% (spread 21.96% + slippage 6.35%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.79 (vega 6.134 / spread 21.96%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +73% (strong bullish) — Raw: +72%
|OI skew| 28.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +85.3%, OI skew +28.2% — aligned
0-DTE 48%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: +8%, OTM: +80% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction +73 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.0% — wide
OI 16,679 — adequate
Volume 868/day — adequate
$1.10 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 42.8 contracts (bid:20.5 ask:22.3) — thin
Avg slippage 6.35% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 23% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.79 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +73% @ 86% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.