IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 73.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.76x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 40% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 43.7% — normal range
Effective IV 136.0% (ATM 43.7% + spread 46.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 68.97% (spread 46.13% + slippage 22.84%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.02 (vega 36.983 / spread 46.13%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +44% (strong bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 40.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +8.3%, OI skew +40.8% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 50%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +27%, OTM: +0% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 6% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +44 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 46.1% — wide
OI 2,815 — thin
Volume 24/day — thin
$2.31 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Depth 10.2 contracts (bid:3.8 ask:6.4) — thin
Avg slippage 22.84% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 73% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 140.14 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +44% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.