
IV is low with bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 5.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.33x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.8% — normal range
Effective IV 95.3% (ATM 23.8% + spread 35.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 56.84% (spread 35.77% + slippage 21.07%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.60 (vega 16.460 / spread 35.77%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -30% (bearish) — Raw: -29%
|OI skew| 2.8% — balanced
Vol skew -35.5%, OI skew -2.8% — aligned
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 87% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +17.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 6% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 83% — highly urgent
Conviction -30 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 35.8% — wide
OI 3,447 — thin
Volume 31/day — thin
$1.79 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 31.400000000000002 contracts (bid:23.6 ask:7.8) — thin
Avg slippage 21.07% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 6% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 444.88 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -30% @ 65% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.