IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.36x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.19x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 53.3% — normal range
Effective IV 84.0% (ATM 53.3% + spread 15.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 22.80% (spread 15.33% + slippage 7.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.15 (vega 7.901 / spread 15.33%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 63.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +30.8%, OI skew +63.2% — aligned
0-DTE 90%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -88%, ATM: +29%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 37% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -5.2% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 44% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.3% — wide
OI 64,584 — deep
Volume 4,012/day — adequate
$0.77 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 375.3 contracts (bid:215.4 ask:159.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +19.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 9.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 319.88 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 74 (ITM 20% + inst 44%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.