IV is low. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 13.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.02x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 7% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.8% — normal range
Effective IV 59.9% (ATM 26.8% + spread 16.6% + bias) — good value
Total drag 21.13% (spread 16.57% + slippage 4.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 35.43 (vega 58.710 / spread 16.57%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -31% (strong bearish) — Raw: -25%
|OI skew| 34.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew -2.5%, OI skew +34.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +36%, ATM: -24%, OTM: -41% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 69% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 33% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction -31 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.6% — wide
OI 20,750 — adequate
Volume 523/day — adequate
$0.83 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 11% — much tighter than sector
Depth 52.400000000000006 contracts (bid:25.3 ask:27.1) — thin
Avg slippage 4.56% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.5% — contango
IV percentile 13% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1540.95 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -31% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.