Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 61.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.34x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 22% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.3% — normal range
Effective IV 79.0% (ATM 39.3% + spread 19.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 25.58% (spread 19.85% + slippage 5.73%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.38 (vega 16.630 / spread 19.85%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 9.8% — balanced
Vol skew +33.8%, OI skew +9.8% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +99%, ATM: -68%, OTM: -13% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 18% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.9% — wide
OI 38,178 — adequate
Volume 921/day — adequate
$0.99 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 24% — tighter than sector
Depth 152.6 contracts (bid:81.6 ask:71.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.73% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink 5.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 839.87 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.