IV is low with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 23.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.7% — normal range
Effective IV 71.2% (ATM 29.7% + spread 20.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.51% (spread 20.73% + slippage 6.78%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.84 (vega 20.409 / spread 20.73%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: -17%
|OI skew| 46.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +49.6%, OI skew +46.7% — aligned
0-DTE 47%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -23%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -27% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.7% — wide
OI 18,441 — adequate
Volume 682/day — adequate
$1.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 20% — much tighter than sector
Depth 117.9 contracts (bid:69.3 ask:48.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.78% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 23% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 4.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 915.18 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.