IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.7% — normal range
Effective IV 94.1% (ATM 75.7% + spread 9.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 17.51% (spread 9.19% + slippage 8.32%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 23.17 (vega 21.291 / spread 9.19%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +18%
|OI skew| 9.6% — balanced
Vol skew +3.6%, OI skew +9.6% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 47%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: +24%, OTM: +18% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 58% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 19% — mixed
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.2% — wide
OI 483,713 — deep
Volume 44,434/day — active
$0.46 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 90.1 contracts (bid:37.6 ask:52.5) — thin
Avg slippage 8.32% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.0% — contango
IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
IV kink -13.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 24.85 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.