IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 57.3% — normal range
Effective IV 80.8% (ATM 57.3% + spread 11.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.96% (spread 11.76% + slippage 12.20%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 72.92 (vega 85.749 / spread 11.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -34% (strong bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 29.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.1%, OI skew +29.2% — aligned
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +23%, ATM: -8%, OTM: -29% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.8x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 10.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +14.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 44% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -34 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 175,723 — deep
Volume 18,851/day — active
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 194.4 contracts (bid:66.7 ask:127.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 12.20% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.1% — contango
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1957.75 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -34% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 74 (ITM 20% + inst 44%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.