IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.86x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.2% — normal range
Effective IV 68.1% (ATM 55.2% + spread 6.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 10.06% (spread 6.43% + slippage 3.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 58.57 (vega 37.663 / spread 6.43%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +20%
|OI skew| 12.8% — balanced
Vol skew +41.9%, OI skew -12.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 50%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +37%, ATM: +9%, OTM: +23% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.7x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 17.5% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.4% — wide
OI 594,222 — deep
Volume 103,913/day — active
$0.32 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector
Depth 153.1 contracts (bid:74.5 ask:78.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 311.26 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.