Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 55.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 85% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.4% — normal range
Effective IV 69.2% (ATM 37.4% + spread 15.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 20.95% (spread 15.91% + slippage 5.04%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 19.97 (vega 31.773 / spread 15.91%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 3.9% — balanced
Vol skew +0.5%, OI skew -3.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +36%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +2% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mixed
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.9% — wide
OI 94,793 — deep
Volume 5,517/day — active
$0.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 86% — much wider than sector
Depth 136.8 contracts (bid:75.3 ask:61.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.04% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.0% — contango
IV percentile 55% — neutral
IV kink -3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 684.75 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.