IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 74.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.34x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 71% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.46x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.3% — normal range
Effective IV 89.1% (ATM 44.3% + spread 22.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 28.09% (spread 22.41% + slippage 5.68%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.73 (vega 8.348 / spread 22.41%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -3%
|OI skew| 9.1% — balanced
Vol skew -7.9%, OI skew -9.1% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: +18%, OTM: -15% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 72% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 24% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.4% — wide
OI 58,515 — deep
Volume 1,492/day — adequate
$1.12 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 107.8 contracts (bid:60.4 ask:47.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.68% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +46.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 74% — seller opportunity
IV kink 14.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 28.65 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.