bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 48.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.59x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 76% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.49x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 35.5% — normal range
Effective IV 44.6% (ATM 35.5% + spread 4.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 5.75% (spread 4.55% + slippage 1.20%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 218.27 (vega 99.313 / spread 4.55%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: -0%
|OI skew| 46.5% — put-heavy
Vol skew -51.4%, OI skew -46.5% — aligned
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: +25%, OTM: -31% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 6.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 7% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.5% — acceptable
OI 42,915 — adequate
Volume 2,562/day — adequate
$0.23 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 34.2 contracts (bid:17.6 ask:16.6) — thin
Avg slippage 1.20% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +48.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink 12.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 3288.51 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.