bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 35.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.4% — normal range
Effective IV 80.6% (ATM 32.4% + spread 24.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 28.73% (spread 24.10% + slippage 4.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.79 (vega 1.908 / spread 24.10%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +40% (strong bullish) — Raw: +42%
|OI skew| 63.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +84.4%, OI skew +63.3% — aligned
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +80%, ATM: -4%, OTM: -7% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 58% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction +40 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 24.1% — wide
OI 54,063 — deep
Volume 1,458/day — adequate
$1.21 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector
Depth 317.6 contracts (bid:179.4 ask:138.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 36% — neutral
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 192.74 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +40% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 88 (ITM 20% + inst 58%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.